Tag Archives: certainty

UPDATED NEW QUOTE BY ULDIS SPROGIS 1619!!!

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UPDATED NEW QUOTE BY ULDIS SPROGIS 356!!!

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If you liked this evergreen truth blog then read more of them, about 3200 so far, or read one or more of my evergreen truth books, especially EVERGREEN TRUTH, rays of truth in a human world filled with myths and deceptions.

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THE TRUTH ABOUT FANTASIZE*

Fantasize

Fantasize: v. to think about a subset(s) which won’t exist with 100% certainty

Fantasizing about being the king of England in the 16th century, fantasizing about time traveling, fantasizing about being young again, and fantasizing about becoming president of the United States without being a natural born citizen are all 100% improbable in your lifetime. Yes, the constitution could theoretically be changed so that you don’t have to be a natural born citizen to become president but the possibility is so remote that it really qualifies as being a fantasy.

Daydreams are also sometimes fantasies or scenarios which are so improbable that they realistically won’t come true. Being cured of a genetic disease is also a fantasy though there may be medications or treatments which can lessen the severity of the affliction.

 

If you liked this evergreen truth blog then read more of them, about 2200 so far, or read one or more of my evergreen truth books, especially COMMON SENSE, rays of truth in a human world filled with myths and deceptions.

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THE TRUTH ABOUT VERIFICATION+

VOE-Image-1

Verification: n. creating certainty that a subset(s) is true and/or accurate and/or justified

 

How frequently have you asked? Verify this for me. In effect you want to find out if what you were told is true, accurate, and even justified so that you can proceed with your own decision about the matter or act accordingly.

 

An official stamp is also frequently used to verify that the contents of paperwork or documents are true, accurate, and justified. This is sometimes called a seal of approval which at minimum may merely be a signature from a reputable human official.

 

If you liked this evergreen truth blog then read more of them, about 1600 so far, or read one or more of my evergreen truth books, especially COMMON SENSE, rays of truth in a human world filled with myths and deceptions.

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THE TRUTH ABOUT UNCERTAINTY***

uncertainty-just-ahead-green-road-sign-with-dramatic-storm-clouds-and-sky

Uncertainty:  n. believing that a future and/or past subset(s) has less than a 100% probability of existing which may not be zero probability or absolute certainty and/or not believing that one is completely right about a subset(s)

We are frequently uncertain whether something is true or whether something existed in the past or will exist in the future. What is seldom asked is what is the probability of the uncertainty?

If it is a scientific fact then we can frequently say that the uncertainty is zero percent but if it is a political or economic prediction then the uncertainty may be less than 50% or only slightly better than flipping a coin. Politics and economics is a statistical evaluation with rather large margins of error in many cases and many crises situations are not very predictable at all with great uncertainty.

To help us with uncertainty we frequently consult reputable sources of information or try to get our information from humans whom we consider experts, reliable, or trustworthy. We are frequently less convinced of the information given by a stranger than a trusted friend and prestigious publications are preferred over other less known sources. Even prestigious publications and authority figures are sometimes wrong about their views or communications so there is really seldom 100% certainty in most things with the possible exception of scientific facts and observations such as the certainty that the sun rises and sets every day.

Many cling to old and sometimes unpleasant habits because they are frequently more certain than trying to change and being confronted with an uncertain future. Humans are resistant to change and that includes their beliefs and opinions which provide them with certainty and they are frequently reluctant to change because they fundamentally fear the uncertainty of change to their value system and beliefs about prior experiences.

Humans frequently try to impose certainty on things which are fundamentally uncertain such as gambling where winning a few times is assumed to be a winning streak even when it objectively is pure luck and the odds are really against the gambler in the long duration.

Call it a fear of uncertainty or a desire for certainty. They both can lead to purposeful behavior designed to achieve a goal(s). Many new goals have some uncertainty but unless you try to achieve them with purposeful effort the probability of achieving them is zero if you don’t try at all.

Uncertainty and doubt are frequently one and the same thing. There is never 100% certainty or a guarantee that something will exist or is true when it needs to be or preferably for a long duration.

A right or wrong answer on a test is perhaps one of the main areas of life where there seems to be some certainty without doubt.

Perhaps the biggest uncertainty is the lifestyle which we are living because the only certainty is that it will change as the years go by and this creates uncertainty in our lives which some humans worry too much about.

If you liked this evergreen truth blog then read more of them, about 1100 so far, or read one or more of my evergreen truth books, especially COMMON SENSE, rays of truth in a human world filled with myths and deceptions.

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THE TRUTH ABOUT GUESSING***

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Guess: v. to make a judgment and/or estimation without adequate knowledge for certainty

Guessing what you will probably do and think is easier than guessing about what your offspring or spouse will do and think. The less that you know about a human or a situation the worse your guessing becomes.

Guessing about your near future is better than your guessing about what will exist a year or more from now.

There is nothing like previous experience with humans or experience with a skill or job to make you a better guesser about those subjects. Prior experience is vital for good guessing but even with it you can be very wrong and still make some very bad guesses.

Predicting future outcomes and relationships is something that we would all like the power to have and there are plenty of fortune tellers and horoscopes trying to fulfill this basic desire to want to know what the future will bring.

Taking out all the guesswork in life is mission impossible and even perfectionists have to admit that they are even wrong some of the time and can’t always make things turn out to their liking.

Technology and computer software is taking much guesswork out of many professions but there are still areas like psychiatry where faulty guesswork is rampant. No accurate definitions of the terminology used and a desire to get quick results makes ballpark estimates or diagnoses highly inaccurate and prolongs much misery and unhappiness in patients. Pushing pills with very bad side effects is handicapping many patients for the long duration with prolonged emotional distress and no cure.

Read the side effects for psychiatric drugs. They are exactly the same as the symptoms which the pills are supposedly trying to cure. If you weren’t mentally ill to start with then you will be when you start taking them and then try to get off them. If you weren’t mentally sick to start with you will be when you are put on them and try to withdraw!

If you had infrequent hallucinations and no insomnia before taking the pills then you will have more hallucinations and guaranteed insomnia when you try to withdraw. In effect you wind up with more side effects after withdrawal then you started with. The chemical imbalances that the pills cause in your brain are nothing short of criminal, especially if you have used them for a long duration.

In the US fifty years ago about 3% of the population was mentally ill. Today we are close to 25% with mental illness and patients are taking one or more mind altering psychiatric drugs. If those statistics are not proof of medical malpractice then I don’t know what kind of proof has to be collected to reform a very corrupt profession making a tremendous profit at patient and taxpayer’s expense.

Guessing about most things in life does not lead to much personal injury but guessing about your mental health should be a crime because it can make you terribly unhealthy in the long duration. The cost to society from this irresponsible guesswork is in the billions!!!!!!

 

If you liked this evergreen truth blog then read more of them, about 1000 so far, or read one or more of my evergreen truth books, especially COMMON SENSE, rays of truth in a human world filled with myths and deceptions.

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THE TRUTH ABOUT HOPE***

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Hope: v. to desire a goal(s) and/or an event(s) which frequently doesn’t have a great probability of existence in the future

We frequently look forward with anticipation to an event(s) which will exist in the future and we feel there is almost certainty that it will exist or happen. When there is some or much doubt about a future event(s) existing we actually are hoping that it will exist.

“Hope you have a nice day” and “I hope everything will go well” is a realization that there is not total certainty in the outcome.

The same truth applies to setting and achieving a goal(s). If we are not very certain that we can achieve a goal(s) then we frequently begin to hope that we will achieve but will not be too shocked if we don’t.

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THE TRUTH ABOUT PROBABILITY

Probability

You will probably eat, go to the bathroom, work, communicate, and drive a car almost every day. These things have a very high probability or are certain.

Less probable things done on a weekly or monthly basis are shopping, filling up a gas tank, going to a movie, going to a restaurant, paying rent or a mortgage, getting paid, and meeting a friend in person.

On a yearly basis you may go on vacation, go to the dentist, and pay your taxes.

In a lifetime you may marry once or twice, have more than a handful of jobs, have health problems, and live in more than a handful of locations. These are rather common things which most of us do and there is a high probability that they will exist or happen in our lives.

Not so probable things are getting the job of your dreams, making much money, marrying a soul mate, and traveling to some truly awesome places in the world.

The truth is that through invested time, effort, and achievement you can sometimes increase the probability of getting what you really want in life. By just living casually day by day and not budgeting your money you will probably not get much of what you think you want out of life.

The probability of things which will exist in your life is determined by chance to some extent because we frequently can’t avoid accidents, medical crises, and sudden financial reversals in our life, especially if we are big risk takers. Opportunity in life sometimes comes by chance but if we haven’t prepared for it then it may pass us by and we may regret it for the rest of our lives.

 

At the two extremes there are humans who let things happen and there are those who try to make things happen in their favor. Most of us let things happen and relatively infrequently try to make important things happen in our lives with careful planning and preparation.

What is the probability that you will live a long and prosperous happy life? No one really knows for sure but if you eat healthy, exercise moderately, never give up, continue to struggle trying to solve everyday problems, and try to learn new useful skills and knowledge then the probability that you will have an interesting life without many regrets increases greatly.

There are probable things in your life which you will frequently and relatively easily do in your life and then there are the improbable things which will just happen to you or happen because of time, effort, achievement, and money spent to make them happen even though the odds against it happening are rather great.

Knowing what the highly improbable things are in life or the impossible things are is important because you can waste a tremendous amount of valuable time, effort, and money trying to make the impossible possible in your life. A life filled with failure, frustration, and depressing disappointment is what awaits you if you don’t set realistic goals and don’t try to achieve possible realistic goals in your life and focus on the impossible instead.

If you don’t have an excellent memory and talent to become a celebrity in the nation or internationally then try to become a celebrity or someone outstanding locally or in an important local profession.

You may only have the potential to become a big fish in a little pond but not have the potential to become a big fish in a big pond. Most of us have to content ourselves with being little fish in a little pond or big pond and that is perfectly acceptable since most of us lead rather normal or mundane lives and have no great urge to excel at anything truly important in society.

Having a happy family and doing a bucket list of interesting things in life is enough of a challenge for most of us and fewer each year are succeeding at even living this kind of a marginal traditional lifestyle.

If you are leading most of your life living the single lifestyle then you can even be content with this because you have the freedom to live life your way without making compromises with a significant other. Not reproducing or not having offspring is also not a disaster because what the polluted world needs least of all is another mouth to feed in a sea of overpopulated humanity.

Death is a certainty for all of us so make the best of life between now and then so that you will have a minimum of regrets on your death bed!!!!!!

If you liked this evergreen truth blog then read more of them, about 900 so far, and one or more of my evergreen truth books, especially COMMON SENSE, rays of truth in a human world filled with myths and deceptions.

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THE TRUTH ABOUT CHANGE

change-is-permanent

Change: to move from one subset(s) to a different one which at a minimum is only a minimal mental and/or a minimal spatial movement of samer subset(s) from one place to another and/or to modify

Nothing is more certain in life than change and the need to adapt to changes in our lives to live life successfully. We change friends, spouses, jobs, shelter, the food we eat, the places which we visit, some old habits, experiences, and the knowledge which we have.

Most things change and successfully adapting to the changes is what makes life interesting and also challenging. Many don’t welcome change because it threatens their predictable existence and many are for the status quo. There are some exceptions to the general rule but it is a truism that the older generation is more conservative than the younger generation which is still trying to succeed in this world and challenging the old ways of thinking and doing things.

The old generation frequently stands in the way of progress and necessary adaptation and that is probably why nature intended for them to die and pass the baton of trying to survive on to the new generation.

If you liked this evergreen truth blog then read more of them, about 800 so far, and one or more of my evergreen truth books, especially COMMON SENSE, rays of truth in a human world filled with myths and deceptions.

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THE TRUTH ABOUT CERTAINTY

Certainty-in-Marketing

There are some things in this world which we are 100% certain of or we believe that they definitely existed in the past and will definitely exist in the future for a relatively long duration.  Certainty is being without any doubt.

We believe that George Washington, the first president of the United States, existed with certainty and we probably believe that the house which we live in will exist with certainty unless it burns down or is destroyed in some way. Most of us are certain that we will die physically at some point in the future and certain that the universe will exist in some form on into the distant future.

Many of us crave certainty and sub consciously would like to know with certainty what lies ahead for us in the future.  Unfortunately many things in life are uncertain and the further that you delve into the past or future the less certain we are of what actually existed or what will exist in the future. We are not certain how long our job will last or how long our family members will live and most things in life are probabilities which are less than 100% certain.

Fortune tellers, horoscope writers, new and old prophets, and seers fascinate some of us because they attempt to predict the future for us and some of us pay money for such personal prognostications.

Certainty: n. intensely believing (a subset(s) is 100% probable in the future and/or past) and/or (a subset(s) is completely true in the past and/or with a very large probability of truth and existence in the future)

If you liked this evergreen truth blog then read more of them, approximately 700 so far, and one or more of my evergreen truth books, especially COMMON SENSE, rays of truth in a human world filled with myths and deceptions.

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