Tag Archives: judgments

THE TRUTH ABOUT CALCULATE+

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Calculate: v. to use mathematical and/or logical methods to make judgments about a subset(s)

If you use numbers and logic to make judgments about a subset(s) then you are essentially calculating. Mathematical calculations are as accurate as you can reasonably get and we have no better tool to describe the physical universe and all the events and subsets which can be described with it.

Yes, most of the real human world with its interactions can’t be mathematically described because the definitions of most words are not accurate enough to yield to description by an equation.

Statistics is used to make normative statements about human behavior but it is far from accurate with no cause effect certainty. Human variables are not only vaguely defined but are so numerous. So many of the human variables are interacting with one another that no proof or absolute certainty is possible when talking about human nature.

So much of human nature is relative to the culture which you are discussing.  Unfortunately human nature is so complex a subject that you must deal with most of it in very subjective, biased, traditional ways and no calculation is possible. Only ball park statistical poor guesses are the conclusions or judgments which we can make.

If you liked this evergreen truth blog then read more of them, about 2500 so far, or read one or more of my evergreen truth books, especially COMMON SENSE, rays of truth in a human world filled with myths and deceptions.

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THE TRUTH ABOUT EXPERIMENT*

experiment

Experiment: v. to use the scientific method to reach a (judgment(s) and/or conclusion(s)) and/or to determine the probability of a cause(s) and effect(s)

Science has made remarkable progress because of the scientific method, mathematical rigor, and experimentation verifying that results can be duplicated in the lab and in effect proving that a theory or formula is valid or true.

Outside the lab reality is different and not so mathematical and only probability statements can be made about the possible cause and effect relationships between often vaguely defined variables.

There is no certainty in statistics and no true cause effect relationships which can be verified over and over again with mathematical accuracy. Social and political science are sciences in name only and do not meet rigorous scientific standards.

Statistics on political polls are a perfect example. A poll can vary from day to day and the wording of the questions asked greatly determine the truthfulness of the answers. Some questions are so vague or misleading that humans may decide to answer the way they are expected to answer and not how they truly feel about an issue.

Financial wealth, occupation, married or unmarried status, age, education, region of the country, and differing beliefs and opinions all make polling potentially very unreliable with bad predictive value. Even statistics and polls on who you will vote for can change almost overnight due to some political statement a candidate may make which changes the opinion of many voters overnight.

You can consider questions asked humans and the answers gotten as experiments on them to determine cause and effect relationships for them. If they are not lying then your results or useful information about an individual will be quite reliable but if the person is deceitful or lies then your conclusions about him or her will be inaccurate and not very useful.

If you liked this evergreen truth blog then read more of them, about 2200 so far, or read one or more of my evergreen truth books, especially COMMON SENSE, rays of truth in a human world filled with myths and deceptions.

For a complete readily accessible list of blogs and titles go to twitter.com/uldissprogis.

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If you enjoyed this blog then here is a list of my most popular ones which you may also enjoy!!!

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THE TRUTH ABOUT JURISDICTION*

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Jurisdiction: using given authority to make decisions and judgments about a subset(s)

 

If you are given official authority over a subset(s) and can make decisions and judgments affecting it then you have jurisdiction over that subset(s) or the subset(s) is your jurisdiction.

If you liked this evergreen truth blog then read more of them, about 2000 so far, or read one or more of my evergreen truth books, especially COMMON SENSE, rays of truth in a human world filled with myths and deceptions.

For a complete readily accessible list of blogs and titles go to twitter.com/uldissprogis.

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THE TRUTH ABOUT UNREASONABLE*

dont-try-to-reason-with-someone-who-enjoys-being-unreasonable-quote-1

Unreasonable: adj. not achieving an accurate and righta (conclusion(s) and/or judgment(s)) and/or inference(s) from a (fact(s) and/or hypothesis(s)) and/or (opinion(s) and/or belief(s)) and/or sensing

If something is not accurate and right then the conclusion, judgement, inference, hypothesis, opinion, feeling, or belief may seem and actually may be unreasonable.

An unreasonable anxiety or fear is merely a fear of something which normal humans would not be afraid of. Unreasonable feelings are also possible where you might unreasonably love someone despite the fact that they treat you like shit and disrespect you.

If you liked this evergreen truth blog then read more of them, about 1600 so far, or read one or more of my evergreen truth books, especially COMMON SENSE, rays of truth in a human world filled with myths and deceptions.

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9 “LOGICAL” DISCUSSION ERRORS!!!

time for discussion

Logic: n. being skilled in accurate reasoning

 

Reason: v. to try to achieve an accurate (righta conclusion(s) and/or judgment(s)) and/ or (inference(s) from a fact(s)) and/or (hypothesis(s) and/or opinion(s)) and/or belief(s) with the use of the probabilities between cause(s) and effect(s) correspondences and/or set(s) and subset(s) correspondences

 

There should be no “logical” ARGUMENTS filled with emotional bias but they should rather be “logical” DISCUSSIONS with as little emotion as possible expressed during the exchange of propositions and conclusions or judgments. An argument or attack on someone’s opinions mimics the violence of physical conflict where any tactic is acceptable as long as you come out the winner and not loser. The winner take all and the loser is left with nothing mentality must be absent from any “logical” discussion and the end result may actually not be certainty but a probability of one or more conclusions or judgments or no conclusions or judgments at all.

The domain of logical thinking is an attempt at establishing objective cause and effect relationships which science excels in because of mathematics. Without the use of mathematics or merely using statistical probabilities, propositions and conclusions or causes and effects can’t be proved conclusively because they frequently can’t be repeated experimentally in the lab with identical results.

WHAT are we discussing logically? Is it possible to discuss everything logically or does logic have its limitations in everyday usage since so few humans think logically in the subjective emotionally biased liberal arts world which we are living in. The best logical usage is with objectivity and it is highly improbable that you will come up with an agreed upon logical conclusion or judgement discussing strongly held subjective emotionally biased opinions or beliefs.

There are errors in accurate reasoning or logic which should be avoided as much as possible. If you are arguing then making these reasoning errors will sometimes increase the probability that the argument will increase in emotional intensity and get very angry. Here is a list of 9 discussion and/or argument errors or 9 don’t dos.

Don’t attack a human’s character and only discuss a character flaw if it seems to be the primary reason for the discussion and/or problem to be solved.

Don’t misrepresent and/or exaggerate the opposing opinion hoping to make it easier to refute by intentionally and unjustly trying to make it less believable.

Don’t use subsets to represent the set.

Don’t always assume that just because something occurred before in time then it must always be the cause.

Don’t always insist that your conclusion and/or judgement is the only one possibility even though that is frequently your goal or desire.

Don’t ask the human with the opposing opinion to do your convincing responsibility for you which is erroneously called the burden of proof because you are really not proving anything but merely trying to persuade with plausible reasons and/or communications.

Don’t assume a cause and effect relationship unless there is a probable logical connection or correspondence between them based on some historical precedence or experience. New cause effect discoveries in human behavior are highly improbable.

Don’t automatically assume that the popularity of the proposition and conclusion or the opinion makes it true.

Don’t always assume that an authority figure is infallible or has or is always communicating truthful facts or opinions. If it is a respected and truthful authority figure based on prior experience most of the time then don’t question everything and every time he or she says something, especially on unimportant matters.

If you liked this evergreen truth blog then read more of them, about 1400 so far, or read one or more of my evergreen truth books, especially COMMON SENSE, rays of truth in a human world filled with myths and deceptions.

For a complete readily accessible list of blogs and titles go to twitter.com/uldissprogis.

Enjoy!!!!!!

If you enjoyed this blog then here is a list of my most popular ones which you may also enjoy!!!

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THE TRUTH ABOUT DECISIONS***

its_your_decision

Decision: n. making an impulsive judgment and/or a judgment after some thought and/or inquiry and frequently doing and/or not doing a subset(s)

There are basically impulsive decisions and delayed decisions which require some thought and/or inquiry first.

Many of our decisions are rather impulsive or spontaneous requiring little thought. When we are hungry or thirsty we eat or drink or wait till the appropriate time. When we are physically exhausted we impulsively rest and when it is bedtime we feel tired and go to sleep.

When asked a common or everyday question we respond impulsively and quickly with an answer and only have to think a little if the question is rather unusual and requires some thought. Cashiers and fast food workers respond or act rather impulsively and are only slowed down or have to think if there is a special request or special order.

A decision to solve a problem may be very impulsive but thinking about the problem and reaching a decision on what to do about it may be very time consuming and require some research.

Making a judgment may be impulsive or take some time but ultimately for every decision one must decide whether to do something or not do anything.

We may decide that we are not eating healthy but may not be willing to put in the time and effort to do anything about it and do nothing to change our eating habits. Not changing to better eating is also a decision so if you continue to eat badly then you are ultimately the one to blame for your inaction.

If you liked this evergreen truth blog then read more of them, about 1000 so far, or read one or more of my evergreen truth books, especially COMMON SENSE, rays of truth in a human world filled with myths and deceptions.

For a complete readily accessible list of blogs and titles go to twitter.com/uldissprogis.

Enjoy!!!!!!