Tag Archives: scientific method

UPDATED NEW QUOTE BY ULDIS SPROGIS 1958!!!

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THE TRUTH ABOUT DISPROVE*

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Disprove: v. to prove a subset(s) is untrue frequently with communication helped with (a witness(s) and/or logic) and/or the scientific method)

It is easy to disprove an alleged scientific fact with an experiment which fails but disproving something in politics, society, religion, or daily life is impossible to do with mathematical accuracy because behavior does not follow mathematical rules.

You can use witnesses, logic, evidence, and statistical approximations to try and disprove some alleged fact(s) but ultimately it is up to the person whom you are trying to convince whether his or her opinion or belief will change about an event(s) and/or circumstance with your presented “proof”.

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THE TRUTH ABOUT EXPERIMENT*

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Experiment: v. to use the scientific method to reach a (judgment(s) and/or conclusion(s)) and/or to determine the probability of a cause(s) and effect(s)

Science has made remarkable progress because of the scientific method, mathematical rigor, and experimentation verifying that results can be duplicated in the lab and in effect proving that a theory or formula is valid or true.

Outside the lab reality is different and not so mathematical and only probability statements can be made about the possible cause and effect relationships between often vaguely defined variables.

There is no certainty in statistics and no true cause effect relationships which can be verified over and over again with mathematical accuracy. Social and political science are sciences in name only and do not meet rigorous scientific standards.

Statistics on political polls are a perfect example. A poll can vary from day to day and the wording of the questions asked greatly determine the truthfulness of the answers. Some questions are so vague or misleading that humans may decide to answer the way they are expected to answer and not how they truly feel about an issue.

Financial wealth, occupation, married or unmarried status, age, education, region of the country, and differing beliefs and opinions all make polling potentially very unreliable with bad predictive value. Even statistics and polls on who you will vote for can change almost overnight due to some political statement a candidate may make which changes the opinion of many voters overnight.

You can consider questions asked humans and the answers gotten as experiments on them to determine cause and effect relationships for them. If they are not lying then your results or useful information about an individual will be quite reliable but if the person is deceitful or lies then your conclusions about him or her will be inaccurate and not very useful.

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THE TRUTH ABOUT OBJECTIVE+

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Objective: adj. reasoning unchanged by emotion and/or personal opinion and based primarily on viewed facts and/or on the use of the scientific method

 

Objectivity in human interactions is the ideal but the reality is that subjective judgements are rampant in a liberal arts society which tries to impose social norms on humans which are seldom based on reasoned logical assessments about reality.

Social and political correctness dominates society and if you logically disagree then you are frequently confronted with ridicule, put downs, insults, name calling, and harsh criticism to get you to conform to the powerful subjective status quo social and political norms.

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THE TRUTH ABOUT UNPROVEN***

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Unproven: n. not having convinced that a subset(s) exists and/or has existed and/or will exist beyond a reasonable doubt and/or not having used the scientific method

Many things in life are unproven but are highly probable which helps us to make sense out of human interactions and physical events and guides us in our decision making process.

There is basically judicial “proof” and scientific proof. Judicial proof is not very rigorous and the veracity of the proof to a large extent depends on the trustworthiness of the witnesses and the accuracy of the facts and professional testimony.

Interpreting the consequences of human past events and circumstantial facts is merely a statistical probabilistic communication(s) and proof in a court of law has an emotional component which is not very rational or logical and can lead to faulty convictions in more than just a few circumstances. Unless there is audio and video evidence which hasn’t been changed with computer software, proof beyond a reasonable doubt always has some guesswork involved.

Can you prove that a common morality is essential for a society to interact peacefully and have trusting relationships between its members? There is no scientific evidence which will ever prove the need for a commonly held moral code but it is an intuitive conclusion reached by personal experience and historical precedent.

Absolute scientific proof is possible but statistical norms are not really cause and effect absolute proofs and there are many real life exceptions to these statistical norms. Many things in life are unprovable in the absolute sense but statistical norms help us to make sense out of an otherwise confusing non absolute or frequently relative world.

Most of us are not really that concerned if something is unprovable as long as it is predictable to some extent. Good and bad habits, beliefs and opinions make humans predictable if you know them well. If you are a good judge of character then you can frequently predict their behavior to some extent and act accordingly.

Official proof beyond a reasonable doubt only exists in the courtroom and a scientific laboratory. There are informal proofs of the existence of something outside the lab and courtroom where you persuade someone that what you are saying or doing is in fact the truth and provable by demonstration or convincing discussion.

Unprovable supernatural phenomenon are simply accepted on faith and for the believer there is no need for proof because the indoctrination has been so successful that they are convinced supernatural phenomenon actually exist in all its varied forms.

Proving that there are ghosts, good and evil spirits, and paranormal activity is the realm of convincing charlatans who frequently make a good living off of their promoted mythologies. Some humans love to hear about miracles or the impossible or unprovable phenomenon and it is a human weakness which has plagued humanity since time immemorial.

Life after death is a perennial subject wished for by everyone and there are deceptive manipulators who promise it for their own personal benefit. Religions themselves are the greatest offenders of reason and logic but there is a saying that if you indoctrinate someone young enough they will be a true believer perhaps for a lifetime and believe almost any absurdity imaginable.

The sad part is that some of these believers want to protect their beliefs by sacrificing their lives and so conflict and wars are never ending in human history and on into the foreseeable future.

The world needs a commonly held secular moral code to keep it unified and operating peacefully and as long as traditional religions oppose such change then we are going to repeat history tragically and I don’t foresee any good consequences resulting from archaic mythological human beliefs passed on from generation to generation unrelentingly.

If you liked this evergreen truth blog then read more of them, about 1100 so far, or read one or more of my evergreen truth books, especially COMMON SENSE, rays of truth in a human world filled with myths and deceptions.

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